Econometrics for credit and financial markets

Economist at a2censo (bvc — nuam). Forecasting, credit analytics, and applied causal inference.

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Macro Forecasting Challenge tournament graphic: a wireframe bull over a rising chart line and bar chart, on a blue background

Macro Forecasting Challenge — Banco de Occidente

A full forecasting pipeline for a national macroeconomic tournament: data extraction from 6 official sources, model-per-variable design, and 24-month walk-forward validation.

March 9, 2026 · 10 min · Andres Mauricio Guerrero Avila